Party System Theory and a Seventh Party System

The average duration of a party system in the US is 36 years. If the sixth party system began with Reagan’s 1980 election that would make the sixth party system 40 years old. Party systems don’t have a clear cut shelf life, and the end of one and the beginning of another seems to be identified only in hindsight.

Several writers have theorized that we’re in a seventh party system right now.

Some have speculated that a new third party could arise if the Democratic Party becomes dominated by the Democratic Socialist wing of that Party. But election laws, the how parties and campaigns are financed and how the insiders hold their coalitions together makes the rise of a new major party unlikely. This is one reason that both Democratic and Republican insiders vigorously oppose election reform.

Assuming Democrats dominate the federal government in 2020 through a realignment election, and no new third party arises, what would that mean to State politics? It could mean more moderate and more dominant State parties. Here’s how

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